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Market Musings

The past week saw the stock market fall and IBD's market call deteriorate to only a 0-20% exposure.

The market saw the PPT (or Plunge Protection Team of the FED) enter the markets about 11:30 a.m. on Friday to help stabilize the market slide.

Although the government shutdown has ended, look for another crisis to develop in about 60 days when the current stop-gap funding arrangement ends.

The risks of American involvement in military action in the Caribbean and the Middle East are rising and complicate the outlook going forward.

U.S. dollars have lost about 12% in purchasing power since the first of the year.

Investors are hoping that lower interest rates are on the horizon but any reduction will hinder the Treasury in selling and refinancing U.S. government bonds and notes going forward.

Watch the price of gold, silver and copper going forward to sense what is really happening.

Politicians talk about a $37 trillion debt when in actuality the true federal GAAP debt is over 3 times that amount using a 7% discount factor.

According to Treasury's own documents as of September 30, 2024, the potential GAAP debt was in excess of $220 trillion.

When the economy is running less than $25 trillion yearly, it does not take an idiot to see the eventual problem. As Minsky said, it only takes one grain of sand ...

It is not surprising to me that Trump and Musk wonder if there is any encumbered gold left in Fort Knox.

The movements of physical gold from London and into China, Japan and India the last few months must be concerning to the London gold exchange.

Although the market has not fallen into correction yet, our screens are finding very few quality stocks. We have liquidated our trading portfolio this week and are now in cash.

Remember -- "Only purchasing power counts!"

By any reasonable measure, this market is dangerous.

Be careful ....

To review the latest FlowChart, click here.

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